Could a 5-way tie for 1st place be on the horizon in the Big 12?

Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) and Kansas guard Lagerald Vick (24) have a conversation during the first half, Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2019 at Bramlage Coliseum.

Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) and Kansas guard Lagerald Vick (24) have a conversation during the first half, Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2019 at Bramlage Coliseum. by Nick Krug

A couple of weeks ago, someone asked me if a 4-, 5-, or 6-way tie for the Big 12 regular season title was possible.

At the time, the idea of looking that up and comparing all of those remaining schedules seemed like a little more than my brain could process. But now that we’re into the second half of the Big 12 schedule and closing in on the home stretch, it seemed like a worthy exercise.

That became particularly true after Texas’ win over Baylor last night, which handed the Bears their third Big 12 loss and vaulted Kansas State into first place, all by itself, with a month to go.

Texas’ win bumped the Longhorns to 5-5 in Big 12 play, just a game behind Kansas. So it’s possible — though doubtful — that UT could still be in the mix for a shared title as well.

But a 5-way tie was as far as I could go. And, believe it or not, it’s absolutely possible and, even more to the point, not all that crazy to consider.

Here’s a team-by-team breakdown of the five top contenders’ remaining schedules and what would have to happen in those games for Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Baylor and Texas Tech to finish in a 5-way tie for first in the Big 12 at 11-7 in conference play.

Even though the Wildcats are in the best position right now and riding high off of their recent win over Kansas, the ’Cats have three tough ones in a row in the immediate future. And even though I think K-State will win at least one or two of its next three games, it’s not crazy to think the Wildcats could lose all three, at Baylor, at Texas and home against Iowa State.

How about that for changing things in a hurry?

As for Kansas, its path to 11-7 is pretty easy. Win the four games it has left at Allen Fieldhouse and find a way to win one on the road. Going 2-2 away from home pushes KU’s projected Big 12 record to 12-6 and could make things very interesting. But until this team shows that it can play with more poise and polish on the road, it’s hard to pick the Jayhawks to win too many outside of Allen Fieldhouse the rest of the way, although I’m sure they’ll find a way to snag at least one.

One more note that came from this exercise of examining the remaining schedules: If we're talking about a team that seems to be set up best to win this thing outright, I actually think it's Iowa State. The Cyclones can score against anyone and appear to have the easiest remaining schedule of all five contenders. Plus, Steve Prohm's team already has seven wins and is tied with K-State in the win column.

Time will tell if the Cyclones can find a way. And we’ll know soon enough how the whole thing shakes out. But while we wait, here’s a quick look at how that 5-way tie could happen.

Remember, what you’re looking at below in terms of wins and losses is only what would have to happen for all five teams to finish with an 11-7 record, not any kind of prediction about what I think will happen.

Forget about March Madness. True madness, clearly, has already arrived. Enjoy!

KANSAS STATE (7-2 now —> 11-7)

at Baylor – L

at Texas – W

vs. Iowa State – L

at West Virginia – L

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at Kansas – L

vs. Baylor – W

at TCU – L

vs. Oklahoma – W

IOWA STATE (7-3 now —> 11-7)

vs. TCU – W

at K-State – W

vs. Baylor – W

at TCU – L

vs. Oklahoma – W

at Texas – L

at West Virginia – L

vs. Texas Tech – L

BAYLOR (6-3 now —> 11-7)

vs. K-State – W

vs. Oklahoma – W

at Texas Tech – L

at Iowa State – L

vs. West Virginia – W

vs. Texas – W

at K-State – L

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at Kansas – L

KANSAS (6-4 now —> 11-7)

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at TCU – L

vs. West Virginia – W

at Texas Tech – L

vs. K-State – W

at Oklahoma State – L

at Oklahoma – W

vs. Baylor – W

TEXAS TECH (6-4 now —> 11-7)

at Oklahoma – L

at Oklahoma State – L

vs. Baylor – W

vs. Kansas – W

vs. Oklahoma State – W

at TCU – L

vs. Texas – W

at Iowa State – W

Here's a quick look at this weekend's Big 12 schedule:

• Oklahoma State at No. 13 Kansas, 11 a.m.

• TCU at No. 17 Iowa State, 1 p.m.

• No. 18 Texas Tech at Oklahoma, 3 p.m.

• Kansas State at Baylor, 5 p.m.

• Texas at West Virginia, 7 p.m.

Comments

John Strayer

Hmmm....wonder if the conference has tiebreaker rules for that contingency. I mean someone has to be seeded #1 thru #5 for the tournament.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Benny Armstrong

That would be a complete mess as far as seeding the tournament. With respect to how a tiebreaker would work, the conference website has this link which includes tiebreaker scenarios involving 2 teams and then 3 or more.

http://www.big12sports.com/ViewArticl...

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Adam James

My prediction is a team will get a share or win outright with 6 losses. 2019 Final B12 standings: 15 in a row......

Kansas: 12-6 (loss at Tech & TCU)
Iowa State: 12-6
K-State: 12-6
Texas Tech 11-7
Baylor: 11-7
Texas: 10-8

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Dave Miller

I knew I shouldn't have read this article!! I knew it just by the title alone... Ohhhhhh.... my head HURTS!!!

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Benny Armstrong

I was told there would be no math...

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Pius Waldman

Well only a possibility but not realistic. A two or even three way tie is more likely. My thinkin is Iowa State has the best chance to win outright. K-State then followed by KU and Texas Tech.

On another subject I think Vick is the best 3 point shooter and Self needs to screen plays for him. Right now Self treatment of him has Vick flustered and he is playing with his eye to the KU bench trying to see Selfs' reaction.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Barry Weiss

that loss at WV that we frittered away is just huge. I'm still tweaked about that.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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W Keith Swinehart II

Back to Self's statement: "Get better." .

1988 Hawks were playing badly. In February against K-State, ironically, KU started playing as a team. Their only last loss in regular play was OU. They went on to win the NCAA tournament.

I don't know about the conference title, but if they get better, they can do well in the tournament. They have good players. They just have to get better and turn the corner. They can do it.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Dane Pratt

We had Danny, the best player in college.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Dane Pratt

I would say a two way tie is more likely between KSU & ISU unless the cyclones can find a way to win in manhattan.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Joe Joseph

K-State has the best chance at winning the league outright. Senior leadership and a defensive mindset gives them the best chance to win on the road.

Extra salt in the wound if K-State dethrones KU, but this is the most likely scenario.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Craig Carson

I say let KSU enjoy this year in the sun..winning the BIG12 means a lot more to them than it does to us..Id rather KU not win the BIG 12 and improve to make a long NCAA run than to win the BIG 12 and fizzle out early

2 months, 1 week ago

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Bee Bee

The way they re playing they need to be in the HORIZON League.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Dale Stringer

As I told my daughter, I bet that the NCAA will accept Silvia's appeal the day after the streak ends.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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